The Empire State index has had a rough spell the last six months though
has held in positive territory, though not by much and at only 2.9 in
November. New orders did a little better in November but again not by
much at only 5.5 in a gain that is offset in part by continuing
contraction in unfilled orders at minus 8.2.
Empire State's
sample is likely working down unfilled orders to keep shipments up which
are at 8.8 in the November report. Employment is also positive, at 10.4
for one of the best showings of the year.
The six-month outlook
for Empire State's respondents has, like most of the readings, been
tilting lower this year though November does see a slight uptick to 19.4
which is still soft for this reading. Price pressures continued to ease
whether for inputs or selling prices.
This report is generally
soft, opening November's run of manufacturing data by underscoring
domestic weakness as the factory sector faces the challenges of slowing
global demand.
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