Monday, February 4, 2019
Business News Week Ahead
A lull before the flood may be the theme of the coming week's minimal
slate of economic data. Delayed reports for factory orders on Monday and
international trade on Wednesday are the week's highlights though both,
due to January's government shutdown, will
cover data from way back in November. Still, both reports especially
trade will offer key inputs into fourth-quarter GDP, the outlook for
which, given the lack of updates especially on consumer spending, is
still foggy. Lack of data looks to trim details in
the first estimate of fourth-quarter productivity and unit labor costs
which appears to be preceding the quarterly GDP report. "Appears" is the
warning given the day-to-day scramble at the Census and Bureau of
Economic Analysis and the possibility that delayed
reports may suddenly make a re-appearance.
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