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Tuesday, July 13, 2021

Core inflation rises to a 30-year high of 4.5%; broad gauge up 5.4%

  • June Consumer Price Index: +0.9% vs. +0.5% consensus and +0.6% prior; represents the largest M/M jump since June 2008 when the index rose 1.0%.
  • Over the last 12 months, the index increased 5.4% before seasonal adjustment; that's the biggest increase since August 2008. The all-items index has been trending up every month since January.
  • Prices for used cars and trucks continue to advance, rising 10.5% in June; this accounts for more than  third of the seasonally adjusted all-items increase.
  • The food index rose 0.8% in June vs. a 0.4% increase in May.
  • Energy index rose 1.5% in June with the gasoline index up 2.5% over the month.
  • Core CPI: +0.9% vs. +0.5% consensus and +0.7% prior.
  • The core index, which excludes food and energy, rose 4.5% Y/Y, the biggest increase since November 1991.
  • Also on the rise last month were new vehicles, airline fares, and apparel.
  • The index for medical care and the index for household furnishings and operations were among the few major component indexes that fell in June.

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