The Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday and the Bank of England on
Thursday will anchor the coming week and though neither are expected to change
policy settings, any hints on the timing of stimulus withdrawal could easily
move the markets. The US employment report on Friday could also easily move the
markets amid what are strongly optimistic expectations for an April jump in
nonfarm payrolls that would match March's gain. Canada, which has posted outsized
jumps in both February and March, will post its labour force survey also on
Friday, while Switzerland, where employment has remained strong throughout the
pandemic, will post its unemployment rate in what will be another Friday
report.
Purchasing manager indexes will open the week in force
on Monday: first manufacturing from both Korea and India, overall activity from
Switzerland, then US manufacturing from the closely watched ISM. Germany will
post manufacturing orders on Thursday and industrial production on Friday,
neither of which have lived up to the country's record PMI showings. Consumer
data will include German retail sales on Monday followed by Eurozone retail
sales on Thursday. Inflation data will be limited to Wednesday with the Swiss
CPI and Eurozone PPI. Also worth watching will be Canadian merchandise trade on
Tuesday as well as French industrial production and the UK's construction PMI
both on Friday.
Monday, May 3, 2021
The Business News Week Ahead
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