ADP estimates that private payrolls in September will rise 135,000 which
matches Econoday's consensus for Friday's results. This would indicate
monthly acceleration in private payrolls which in August, as reported by
the Bureau of Labor Statistics, rose 96,000. Yet relative to ADP's
sample, whose estimate for August rose a revised 157,000, a 135,000 rise
would mark slowing.
ADP's data are often hard to read and in any
case are not always an accurate gauge for actual employment change as
reported by the government, yet today's results do offer, like weekly
jobless claims or jobs data in the consumer confidence report, their own
confirmation that labor market conditions in September remained very
solid.
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