In what is the first major economic indication of trouble tied to the
government shutdown, the consumer sentiment index plunged to a 90.7
reading that is far below Econoday's low estimate for 95.5. The
expectations component fell nearly 9 points to 78.3 with current
conditions also taking a hit, down more than 6 points to 110.0.
Inflation
expectations proved steady, unchanged at 2.7 percent for the year-ahead
outlook which contrasts with Wednesday's 3 tenths drop to 2.0 percent
for the Atlanta Fed's business expectations measure. The 5-year outlook
in today's report is up 1 tenth to 2.6 percent.
The report cites
other negatives aside from the shutdown including the impact of tariffs
and instability in the financial markets. But the shutdown is the front
and center issue right now facing the nation and the drop in January's
preliminary index -- by far the very steepest since early in the
economic cycle -- suggests it may very well be rattling the confidence
of the nation's consumers.
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