Initial claims are up for a third straight week, 10,000 higher in the
November 24 week to a 234,000 level that is outside high estimates for
228,000. The 4-week average is up a sizable 4,750 to 223,250 which is
suddenly the highest reading since July. There are no special factors
distorting today's report.
Also moving higher are continuing
claims, up 50,000 in lagging data for the November 17 week with this
4-week average up 20,000 to 1.668 million. This reading is coming up
from a 45-year low in late October at 1.635 million. The unemployment
rate for insured workers is unchanged at 1.2 percent, which is very low
but up 1 tenth from a month ago.
Unemployment claims do appear to
be shifting higher which doesn't point to another month of outstanding
strength for the November employment report.
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