Less favorable views of personal finances are pulling consumer sentiment
slightly lower this month, to a still very solid 99.0 in the
preliminary October reading vs 100.1 in final September and 100.8 in
preliminary September. Some of the sampling in the latest period did
follow Wednesday's rout in the stock market but, according to the
report, had virtually no impact on the results.
Year-ahead
inflation expectations, as they did in the Atlanta Fed's report at the
business level, are edging higher this month, up 1 tenth to 2.8 percent.
But an offset in this report is a 2 tenths decline in 5-year inflation
expectations, now at only 2.3 percent.
A note going into the
mid-term elections next month is that confidence in the government's
economic policies is at its highest level in 15 years reflecting strong
confidence among Republicans and improving confidence among Democrats.
Among
other readings, the current conditions component edged 8 tenths lower
from final September to 114.4 while the expectations component fell 1.4
points to 89.1.
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