In August, Americans' self-reported daily spending averaged $89, similar
to the $90 to $91 averages Gallup has found each month since April. The
latest figure is the lowest August reading since 2012. Spending peaked
at $114 in May 2008 before waning and then plunging amid the global
economic crisis that took hold later in the year. From 2009 to 2012,
spending stagnated, ranging between $58 and $83. Americans' spending
picked up in late 2012, and continued in 2013 and 2014, ranging from $78
to $98. Averages for 2015 have ranged from $81 to $91.
If
monthly spending patterns in recent years are any indication of what is
to come, spending is not likely to increase in September. In each of the
previous five years, spending in September has been lower than in
August, including sharp declines of $11 in 2013 and $7 in 2014. In 2008
and 2009, it increased slightly, but only by a dollar or two. Regular
declines in spending from August to September are understandable given
the end of the vacation season and the end of back-to-school shopping,
one of the busiest times of the year for retailers. A later Labor Day
holiday could extend the typical summer vacation and back-to-school
shopping seasons, with some of that usual August spending being shifted
to September this year. By contrast, spending typically booms at the end
of the year. In each year except for 2008, spending averages increased
-- often by double digits -- between September and December.
Though
down slightly, Americans' spending remains in somewhat of a holding
pattern, having stayed within a $2 range for the last five months. But
while the average for August is on par with recent months, it remains
below averages recorded for August in 2013 and 2014.
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