ADP Sees Private Payrolls Rising 190K In August

ADP, like it did for the July employment report, is calling for a sub-200,000 flop on Friday. ADP sees private payrolls rising 190,000 which is a sizable 20,000 below the Econoday consensus and right at the low estimate. ADP is revising down its July call even further lower and farther away from the government's initial reading, to 177,000 vs ADP's initial call for 185,000. The government's private payroll reading was 210,000 in July and is expected to come in at 211,000 in August. However spotty ADP's record is, today's result is very likely to raise talk of a lower-than-expected report on Friday and a December, not a September, FOMC rate hike.

Recent History Of This Indicator: The ADP employment report has not been on target much this year, predicting a flop for what turned out to be a respectable July employment report. Forecasters see ADP's private payroll call at 210,000.