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Thursday, October 30, 2014

Jobless Claims Move Higher, Still At Recovery Lows

Jobless claims moved higher in the latest data but averages are still at recovery lows. Initial claims rose 3,000 in the October 25 week to 287,000 but the 4-week average edged slightly lower to 281,000 for the 7th straight decline and the lowest level since May 2000. The average is about 15,000 lower than the month-ago comparison which points to strength for the October employment report.

Continuing claims, which are reported with a 1 week lag, rose 29,000 in the October 18 week, but the 4-week average fell 4,000 to 2.378 million for the lowest level since January 2001. Compared to a month ago, the average is down more than 60,000 which also points to strength for the October employment report.

There are no special factors in today's report, one that underscores yesterday's upbeat assessment of the jobs market by the FOMC.


Recent History Of This Indicator:
Initial jobless claims rose in the October 18 week, up 17,000 to 283,000 but the trend remained favorable. The prior week, revised only 2,000 higher to 266,000, was a 14-year low. The 4-week average is also at a 14-year low, down 3,000 to 281,000. Continuing claims for the October 11 week fell 38,000 to 2.351 million which is another 14-year low, as is the 4-week average, down 23,000 to 2.381 million. There were no special factors in this report.

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