The PMI manufacturing sample continues to report near stagnant
conditions but a little less stagnant than prior readings. September's
51.1 final reading is up 8 tenths from August and is the best showing
since April. Still, the level is only slightly over breakeven 50 to
indicate no more than subdued growth in composite activity during the
month.
The best news is an upturn in new orders that, however, is
centered entirely in domestic markets as exports sales fell at one of
the very sharpest rates of the last five years, or as the report says:
"Ongoing trade wars also reportedly exacerbated difficult external
demand conditions." Like overall orders, production also improved but is
being supported by the accelerated working down of backlogs.
The report describes the sample's confidence as "gloomy", hiring as "tentative", and inflation pressures "subdued".
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