Acceleration is not the indication from the home builders' housing
market index which, though at a high level, edged back 2 points in June
to 68 which is at the bottom end of Econoday's consensus range. Current
sales, at 75, future sales, at 76, and traffic at 50 all slipped 1 point
in the month. The reading for traffic is the lowest since November and
is not a good sign for the homestretch of the Spring housing season.
The
West is a focused region for home builders and leads the regional
breakdown followed by the South and Midwest and then the Northeast which
though last has been showing improvement.
The new home market
has been moving higher, both sales and permits, though indications
including prices have been pointing to slowing growth. Watch for housing
starts tomorrow where positive results are expected.
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