Growth in home prices, as it is for home sales, is almost at a
standstill, at least on a monthly basis for Case-Shiller's 20-city
adjusted index which inched only 0.1 percent higher in August.
Year-on-year, the unadjusted index is still growing at healthy rate of
5.5 percent which, however, is down from 6.8 percent as recently as
March and is the lowest rate since December 2016.
Outright
monthly declines were posted in two cities where price traction is
clearly slipping, Seattle at minus 1.0 percent in the month for
year-on-year growth still very strong at 9.6 percent, and San Diego
which fell 0.3 percent in the month for a mediocre year-on-year rate of
4.8 percent.
Las Vegas is once again the big headliner in the
data, posting 1.1 percent monthly growth in August following 1.2 and 1.1
percent in the prior two months. Las Vegas leads the year-on-year
growth rates at 13.9 percent. At the bottom, however, remain Washington
DC and New York City at only 2.8 percent growth with Chicago little
better at only 2.9 percent.
These results and trends are
consistent with weakness seen in last week's FHFA house price index as
well price data in the existing home sales report. However strong the
2018 economy is, it doesn't include home prices which are a central
source of household wealth.
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