The number of Americans who applied for jobless benefits fell
slightly in mid-September to the lowest level since the start of the
coronavirus pandemic, but the threat of fraud and other problems in
California made it hard to get a good read on how much the labor market
is improving.
Initial jobless claims filed through state programs
dropped to 837,000 in the week ended Sept. 26 from a revised 873,000 in
the prior week, the Labor Department said Thursday. Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast new claims to fall to 840,000.
An estimated 650,120 people also filed new claims under the
Pandemic Unemployment Assistance Act, the federal law that temporarily
made self-employed workers eligible for benefits for the first time
ever. That put the number of actual or unadjusted new claims at 1.49
million.
A big complicating factor is California. The state is
not accepting new applications until early October while it processes a
large backlog and investigates reports of widespread fraud. That could
be exaggerating how many people are actually applying for or receiving
benefits since California is the nation’s largest state.
As a
result, the U.S. Labor Department is using the most recent California
numbers before the pause as part of its national total.
New jobless claims rose the most in the states of New York, Texas and Georgia.
Continuing
jobless claims declined by 980,000 to a seasonally adjusted 11.8
million in the seven days ended Sept. 19. That’s also the lowest level
since late March, when the virus was shutting shut most of the U.S.
economy.
Altogether, the number of people getting benefits
through eight state and federal programs rose by 484,856 to an
unadjusted 26.5 million as of Sept. 12, the latest data available.
Yet
some economists say the data can’t be trusted given the situation in
California and widespread disparity in unemployment shown between
jobless claims and the more comprehensive monthly U.S. employment
report. The jobs report showed a far fewer 13.6 million people were
unemployed in August.
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