The U.S. created 661,000 new jobs in September and the unemployment
rate fell again to 7.9% to the lowest level of the pandemic, but the
gain in hiring was the smallest since the economy reopened and pointed
to deceleration in the recovery.
The increase in employment last
month fell short of Wall Street’s estimate. Economists polled by
MarketWatch had forecast an 800,000 gain.
U.S. stocks fell in premarket trading. President Trump has
tested positive for the coronavirus was already weighing on the market
before the jobs report.
Private-sector hiring was somewhat stronger with 877,000 new jobs created, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Friday.
What dragged down employment in September was a decline in
public-educations jobs at local schools and state colleges. Most have
adopted forms of online learning.
The unemployment rate, meanwhile, fell for the fifth month in row to
7.9% from 8.4%, a new pandemic low. The official jobless rate had peaked
at 14.7% in April before subsiding.
The decline partly reflected
an increase in hiring, but more worrisome, nearly 700,000 people
exited the labor force and stopped looking for work because job were
scarce. They aren’t counted in the unemployment rate.
Another caveat: The jobless rate would have been closer to 8.3% if
households gave an accurate description of their employment status, the
Bureau of Labor Statistics said.
Some survey respondents have
mistakenly referred to themselves as employed even though they aren’t
actually working, a problem that’s bedeviled the BLS amid widespread
furloughs .
Bars and restaurants added the most jobs in September (200,000), followed by retail, health care and white-collar businesses.
Workers also put in more hours on the job, another good sign for the labor market.
The
increase in employment in August was raised by 145,000 to 1.49 million)
The increase in July was revised up slightly to 1.76 million.
So
far the U.S. has recovered about 11.4 million jobs since a recovery got
underway in May. The economy had shed about 23 million jobs at the
height of the pandemic.
Just how many people are still out of work, however, is hard to know for sure.
The
monthly employment survey showed 12.6 million people were unemployed
last month, but a separate government report suggests as many 26 million
are collecting jobless benefits. Some economists contend the data on
benefits is inflated by duplicate applications, fraud and other errors.
A
broader measure of unemployment known as the U6 suggests the “real”
rate fell to 12.8% in September from 14.2%. The U6 rate includes workers
who can only find part-time work and those who have become too
discouraged to look for jobs because so few are available.
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