The Chicago Fed’s national activity index,
which is designed to gauge overall U.S. economic activity, fell to 0.79
in August from a revised 2.54 in the prior month. The index’s
three-month moving average, which tries to smooth out volatility,
slipped to 3.05 from 4.23 in July.
A zero value of the index indicates the national economy is expanding at its historic trend rate of growth.
The July index was revised from an initial estimate of 1.18. The June index was revised to a record high 5.84 from 5.33.
The
Chicago Fed index is a weighted average of 85 economic indicators.
Forty-five made positive contributions in August. Still, 40 indicators
deteriorated from July’s level.
Production-related indicators
contributed 0.23 to the overall index in August, down from 1.26 in the
prior month. Employment-related indicators added 0.63, down from 0.65 in
July.
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