The leading economic index rose a slight 0.1% in February, but that was
before the coronavirus began to bring U.S. growth to a standstill. "The
U.S. LEI rose slightly in February, but it doesn't reflect the impact of
the COVID-19 pandemic which began to hit the U.S. economy in full by
early March," said Ataman Ozyildirim, director of business cycles
research at the Conference Board, producer of the report. "As a result,
the economy may already be entering into a period of contraction." The
index is sure to fall sharply in the next few months and likely signal
recession. The LEI is a weighted gauge of 10 indicators designed to
signal business-cycle peaks and valleys.
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