Monday, March 16, 2020
The Business News Week Ahead
A week dominated by central bank announcements opens Monday with key
data out of China, led by industrial production which will cover the virus-torn
months of January and February. The virus' widening outbreak is expected to
pull down German business sentiment very sharply as measured by ZEW's latest
survey on Tuesday, though not US retail sales for the month of February when
the virus was yet to be a critical issue in America. February's retail sales
report will, nevertheless, offer a baseline to measure the forthcoming effects
of the virus, as will Canadian manufacturing sales for January and US
industrial production for February, both to be released on Wednesday. Whether
the virus may slow the new home market is a special question for the US where
housing starts on Wednesday will update what has arguably been the strongest
sector of any kind in the global economy. Japanese consumer prices, where
improvement has been minimal, will be posted on Thursday and will precede the
Bank of Japan's policy announcement on Wednesday, one that will follow an
emergency bond buying plan announced earlier in the month. The Federal Reserve,
which cut rates by 50 basis points at its own emergency meeting on March 3, is
expected to extend its efforts with another 50 point cut on Wednesday. The
Swiss National Bank follows on Thursday for a bank that is not only struggling
with virus effects but the burden of a sharply appreciating currency that looks
to limit the nation's exports.
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