The numbers: Industrial production fell 0.3% in December, the third decline in the past four months, the Federal Reserve reported Friday.
The
decline was in line with Wall Street expectations of a 0.3% fall,
according to a MarketWatch survey. The softness in the factory sector
was telegraphed in the December unemployment report released last week,
where manufacturing shed 12,000 jobs.
For the fourth quarter as a
whole, industrial production was down at a 0.5% annual rate. Production
was down in three of the four quarters of 2019. Output was down 1% on a
year-over-year basis.
What happened: Manufacturing
output rose 0.2% in December, but was down at a 1% rate for the fourth
quarter. The gain in December came despite a 4.6% drop for output of
motor vehicles and parts. Assemblies of cars fell to 10.3 million units
in December from 11.2 million in the prior month.
There have been
reports that automakers are planning to reduce production in 2020 in
face of projections of slower sales.
Mining output rose 1.3% in
December on higher oil and gas extraction. Utility output fell 5.6% as
warmer weather reduced the demand for home heating.
Capacity
utilization fell to 77% in December, the second lowest reading in 27
months. The capacity utilization rate reflects the limits to operating
the nation’s factories, mines and utilities. It’s still below
pre-recession levels, above 80%, that economists believe could fan
production costs and prices.
Big picture: The manufacturing sector hurt by the
decline in global trade, trade tariffs with China and Boeing Co.’s
problems with the 737 MAX airplane.
The ISM factory index sank in
December to its lowest level since the Great Recession. Some economists
think the sector could hit bottom in the first quarter.
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