Monday, December 16, 2019
The Business News Week Ahead
China will be out in front
of the global calendar, posting November data on Monday morning for retail
sales, industrial production, as well as fixed asset investment. Forecasters on
net are looking for slight improvement. Initial indications on December activity
will follow in Europe with a string of purchasing manager indexes on Monday
morning headlined by Germany and whether its manufacturing PMI can extend its
recent recovery. Of special note will be the second posting of the CIPS/PMI
composite flash that will offer initial data on December and the effects, if
any, going into the general election on UK activity. Tuesday's highlights will
be the UK labour market report, which has been cooling, and US industrial
production which has been in contraction though a big rebound is expected for
November, while Wednesday will open with Japanese merchandise trade and include
an announcement from the Bank of Japan. Here the BoJ's assessment of inflation
will be in focus, and whether there is or isn't any "momentum" toward
their long effort to lift consumer prices. Japan's CPI follows on Friday. On
Thursday, Australia will post labour data and the UK posting November retail
sales, while the Bank of England will issue a policy announcement where, like
the BoJ, no action is expected. PCE inflation data out of the US caps off the
week and forecasters are not expecting to see much improvement (note that this
report will be released an hour-and-a-half later than normal, at 10:00 a.m.
EST). If the PCE data come out as expected, slow but at least steady will be
the theme.
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