Empire State's sample is reporting improvement reflected in a
better-than-expected 4.8 headline in a report that includes a solid
snapback for new orders which are now back in positive ground at 6.7 for
the first time since May. Shipments in the August report are also
positive, extending their steady run at 9.3.
Other readings,
however, are less favorable including a third straight contraction in
the sample's employment at minus 1.6 in August and a third straight
contraction in unfilled orders at minus 9.7. The 6-month outlook also
softened, down 5.1 points to 25.7 which is moderate for this reading.
Yet
the gain in new orders is of paramount importance and does speak to the
strength seen in the Philadelphia Fed's report which was also released
at 8:30 a.m. ET this morning. The factory sector, at least based on
these two reports, is having a solid month so far in August.
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