Retail inventories contracted an unexpected 0.1 percent in June, which
together with a lower-than-expected build in wholesale inventories for
June will be negatives for the inventory component of tomorrow's
second-quarter GDP report. However unfavorable for the GDP calculation,
low inventories at a time of strong consumer demand and what may be,
based on this morning's durable goods report, improving business demand
point to the need for inventory building which would be a plus for third
quarter employment and production.
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