Thursday's manufacturing PMI as well as last week's Philly Fed
report both showed slowing in August, as does the Kansas City
manufacturing index which came in at 14. This is 9 points below
Econoday's consensus and the lowest reading of the year.
Orders
slowed 12 points to 9 this month with backlogs still strong, down only 1
point to 8. Shipments slowed by 4 points to 18 with production down 12
points to 10. And hiring is also down 12 points to 14.
The
workweek is up only 1 point this month, down from 14 in July. But
slowing may be a plus for this sample given the risk that activity was
becoming unsustainably strong. Delivery times continue to lengthen but
to a lesser degree, at 19 vs 28 in July. Inventory growth is steady for
raw materials and slowing slightly for finished goods. Price data are
steady to lower at highly elevated rates.
Based on advance
indications from small sample surveys like this report, August may prove
to be relatively soft for the nation's factory sector giving
manufacturers some needed breathing room to expand capacity.
No comments:
Post a Comment