Consumer sentiment ends July at 97.9 which is down 3 tenths from June
but more immediately is up 8 tenths from the mid-month flash to imply a
reading over the last two week closer to 99. Expectations, which sank
during the trade-war build up in June, bounced 1.0 point higher in July
to 87.3. Current conditions, however, slipped back 2.1 points to 114.4
in what may hint at less robust consumer spending in July.
A
major positive in the report is a decrease in price data, a relief
following the price surge in this morning's GDP report. Year-ahead
inflation expectations are down 1 tenth from June to 2.9 percent with
the 5-year rate down 2 tenths to 2.4 percent.
This is good report
pointing to a healthy consumer who, unlike Federal Reserve policy
makers perhaps, is not concerned about inflation.
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