The number of homes on the market may be low but price indications are
slowing. The FHFA house price index edged only 0.1 percent higher in
data for April which follows an upward revised but nearly as soft 0.2
percent increase in March (the two months together mark a clear slowdown
that is visible in the graphs below, at 0.15 percent in April and 0.19
percent in March going out to two decimals). The year-on-year rate,
which peaked at 7.4 percent early in the year, is down to 6.4 percent in
today's report.
Despite the slowing, indications still hint at
possible bubbles in the Mountain region, up 0.4 percent in the month for
an 8.9 percent year-on-year rate, though the Pacific region did ease
with only a 0.1 percent gain and an 8.3 percent on-year rate. The West
South Central is bringing up the rear, down 0.5 percent in the month for
a still respectable 4.6 percent yearly rate.
Similar indications
of price slowing have been coming from the new home and existing home
reports as did the March results for Case-Shiller. The results do raise
the question whether housing demand may be slowing. April results for
Case-Shiller will be posted next week.
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