Despite headline declines, the housing starts and permits report for
April is mostly positive. First the negatives: starts fell 3.7 percent
in the month to a lower-than-expected 1.287 million annualized rate
while permits fell 1.8 percent to an as-expected 1.352 million rate. The
decline for both starts and permits reflects give back from multi-units
which fell sharply in April after rising sharply in March.
Steady
readings for single-family homes are the positives in today's data.
Starts here posted a 0.1 percent increase to an 894,000 rate while
single-family permits, which are the best news in the report, rose 0.9
percent to an 859,000 rate. But not all the single-family news is
positive as completions fell 4.0 percent in the month to an 820,000 rate
for a decline that is not welcome in a housing market starved of
supply.
But behind all the volatility in the numbers is a housing
sector that continues to climb at a solid rate, reflected in
year-on-year change that shows total starts up 10.5 percent and permits
up 7.7 percent.
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