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Thursday, May 24, 2018

Existing Home Sales Disappoint

Yesterday's new home sales report showed less strength than expected while today's existing home sales results are outright disappointing. Sales fell 2.5 percent in April to an annualized rate of 5.460 million which falls below Econoday's low estimate.

The decline in sales came despite a sizable increase in supply on the market, at 1.800 million for a monthly gain of 9.8 percent though the year-on-year rate remains squarely in the negative column at minus 6.3 percent. On a sales basis, supply rose to 4.0 months from 3.5 months.

The median price for a resale rose 3.2 percent in the month to $257,900 which no doubt held down the month's sales. But the year-on-year rate for the median, in contrast to FHFA or Case-Shiller data which are near 7 percent, is a more moderate 5.3 percent.

All regions were weak in the month especially the Northeast where sales fell 4.4 percent. And only one region, the South, is in the year-on-year plus column and at only 2.2 percent.

Housing got off to a slow start this year and the first indications on the second quarter are not pointing to any acceleration. Housing, like consumer spending, has been unexpectedly flat.

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