New orders remain strong but did ease in March, pulling down the
services PMI to 54.0 for the month's final reading vs 54.1 at mid-month
and noticeably lower than February's 55.9. But orders aside, output
remained strong and hiring did accelerate in the month for the best
showing since August last year. Prices, as in other anecdotal surveys,
are accelerating with higher input costs increasingly being passed
through to customers. Watch later this morning at 10:00 a.m. for the
ISM's non-manufacturing report where readings have been running higher
than this report.
...meanwhile...
Unusual strength eased a bit in March for ISM's non-manufacturing sample
as the index came in near expectations at 58.8 vs 59.5 and 59.9 in the
two prior months. Growth in new orders remains very strong though the
index is now under 60, at 59.5, for the first time since December. A key
positive, however, and one for the outlook on Friday's employment
report is a 1.6 point rise in employment to 56.6 which is strong for
this reading.
Capacity stress in this sample is evident with
supplier deliveries lengthening very sharply, up 3.0 points to 58.5, and
input prices up a half point to a very hot 61.5 for a third straight
plus 60 showing.
This report, in distinction to the services PMI
released earlier this morning, includes mining, which was the strongest
of 17 sectors in the March report, and also construction which includes
specific comments on tariff effects, that price volatility for
construction-related materials including steel and aluminum are
disrupting business plans.
The employment result is strong as is
once again the breadth of this report, underscored by the industry score
which shows 15 reporting monthly growth and only 2 reporting
contraction.
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