The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to more
than a 45-year low last week, suggesting the economy remains strong
despite signs of a slowdown in the first quarter.
Initial
claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 12,000 to a seasonally
adjusted 215,000 for the week ended March 24, the lowest level since
January 1973, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior
week were revised to show 2,000 fewer claims received than previously
reported.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims
falling to 230,000 in the latest week. The government released 2018
seasonal factors with the report and published revisions to the seasonal
factors and data going back to 2013.
The revisions did not
change the theme of tightening labor market conditions. Claims have now
been below the 300,000 threshold, which is associated with a strong
labor market, for 158 straight weeks. That is the longest such stretch
since 1970, when the labor market was much smaller.
The labor market is considered to be near or at full employment. The
jobless rate is at a 17-year low of 4.1 percent, not too far from the
Federal Reserve's forecast of 3.8 percent by the end of this year.
The Labor Department said claims for Maine, Hawaii and Colorado were
estimated last week. It also said claims-taking procedures in Puerto
Rico and the Virgin Islands had still not returned to normal after the
territories were devastated by Hurricanes Irma and Maria last year.
The four-week moving average of initial claims, viewed as a better
measure of labor market trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility,
slipped 500 to 224,500 last week.
Economists are optimistic
that tightening labor market conditions will start boosting wage growth
in the second half of this year. That should help to support consumer
spending, which slowed at the start of the year.
The claims
report also showed the number of people receiving benefits after an
initial week of aid increased 35,000 to 1.87 million in the week ended
March 17. The four-week moving average of the so-called continuing
claims fell 12,750 to 1.86 million.
The continuing claims
data covered the week of the household survey from which March's
unemployment rate will be calculated. The four-week average of
continuing claims declined 46,000 between the February and March survey
periods, suggesting little change in the jobless rate this month.
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