Economic
demand is strong and inventories are on the rise. Wholesale inventories
jumped 0.8 percent in November which is one of the biggest builds of
the last year and 1 tenth above the advance estimate. Yet further
stocking looks likely given the strength of November sales at the
wholesale sector which surged 1.5 percent following a 0.8 percent rise
in October, a month when inventories fell 0.4 percent. The need for
inventory build is underscored by the year-on-year rates where sales are
far in front at 9.8 percent vs only 4.0 percent for inventories. The
stock-to-sales ratio for the sector is on the decline, down to 1.24 in
November vs 1.25 and 1.26 in the two prior months. Watch for November's
total inventory tally with business inventories on Friday.
Recent History Of This Indicator:
Wholesale trade inventories are expected to rise 0.7 percent in line
with advance data which showed a 0.7 percent build. Inventories in
general, including at the wholesale level, have been on an orderly climb
in response to strong demand.
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