Wholesale Trade Inventories Lower

Wholesalers aggressively drew down their inventories in February, 0.5 percent lower following a revised 0.2 percent draw in January. Auto inventories were worked sharply lower in February, down 1.0 percent for the largest monthly decline since September 2013.

Sales in the wholesale sector fell 0.2 percent in the month for a 4th straight decline in a string that offers clear evidence of economic weakness. Yet the decline for inventories was greater than that for sales, making for an improvement in the stock-to-sales ratio which fell to a less heavy 1.36 from 1.37.

Auto sales have been struggling this year and the decline in wholesale auto inventories could be an early sign of correction for this industry. Still, draws are always welcome news when demand is soft. Note that today's inventory decline and downward revision are negatives for first-quarter GDP estimates.

Recent History Of This Indicator:
Wholesale inventories have been rising only marginally but have still been well ahead of wholesale sales which have been falling. The stock-to-sales ratio in January rose two notches to 1.35 from 1.33 for the highest reading of the recovery, since April 2009. Forecasters see wholesale inventories turning lower in the February report, down a consensus 0.2 percent.