One
of the heaviest weeks ever starts off on Monday with no less a headliner than
personal income & spending where the PCE core price index is expected to
show a little life and perhaps move closer to the Federal Reserve's 2 percent
policy line. Existing home sales have been very soft but pending home sales are
expected to show a rebound on Monday. Other housing data in the week include
Case-Shiller home prices, which are expected to show traction on Tuesday, and
construction spending on Friday which could show a badly needed bounce for the
residential component. Friday opens with the employment report where the
Econoday consensus is calling for another solid rise, up 210,000 for nonfarm
payrolls. The ISM and consumer sentiment follow on Friday with the former
expected to show strength and the latter expected to come in flat. If the PCE
core shows lift and the employment remains strong, talk of an April FOMC rate
hike would definitely build.
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