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Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Business Inventories Rise, Sales Drop

It's been weak reporting for U.S. economic data and business inventories are no exception. Inventories rose an unwanted 0.1 percent in December against a 0.4 percent decline for sales in a mismatch that drives the stock-to-sales ratio from 1.39 to 1.40 for the fattest reading of the whole cycle, since May 2009. Inventories fell for factories but rose for wholesalers and also for retailers. Sales, however, fell for both retailers and especially for wholesalers. Heavy inventories are a negative for future production and future employment and today's report points to slowing for both during the first quarter.

Recent History Of This Indicator:
Business inventories have been flat but not flat enough relative to sales which have been declining. Unwanted inventories are negatives for the production and employment outlooks.

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