Construction spending edged only 0.1 percent higher in July in a month,
however, that does show some life for residential spending which rose
0.6 percent. Yet general weakness is still the theme for construction
with total year-on-year contraction at minus 2.7 percent and with
residential construction at minus 6.6 percent.
Nonresidential
construction is barely performing any better than the residential side,
down 0.3 percent on the month for year-on-year growth of only plus 0.1
percent. Spending on commercial building fell in the month and is down
16.5 percent on the year though spending on manufacturing building, in a
welcome sign of business investment, did rise 1.9 percent on the month
and for 3.3 percent yearly growth.
Turning back to residential
data, new single-family homes were the strength in July, up a monthly
1.4 percent though yearly contraction is still severe at minus 8.5
percent. New multi-family homes have been doing better than
single-family homes, up 5.7 percent on the year though down 1.1 percent
on the month.
One area of strength has been public construction,
up 0.4 percent in July and up 4.0 percent on the year. State & local
spending is up 3.5 percent but Federal spending leads, rising at an
annual 9.8 percent rate with gains concentrated in health care and
highway & streets.
This year's weakness in the construction
sector and specifically in housing has been perhaps unexpected given low
mortgage rates that keep moving lower. Though the Federal Reserve
hasn't elevated construction to a major concern, today's report, despite
isolated improvement, likely adds another weight for a rate cut, and
perhaps a large rate cut, at this month's FOMC.
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