The numbers: U.S. productivity rose at 2.2% annual
pace in the third quarter after a strong gain in the spring, marking the
best back-to-back performance in four years in a good sign for the
economy.
Companies increased the amount of goods and services
they produced, known as output, by 4.1% in the three months stretching
from July to September.
The hours workers spent on the job rose by a smaller 1.8%, the government said Thursday.
Productivity also rose at a revised 3% annual rate in the second
quarter. Rising productivity in the long run is the key to a higher
standard of living.
Even with two straight strong gains,
however, productivity only rose at a mild 1.3% rate over the past 12
months. That matches the annual average from 2007 to 2017, but it’s well
below the 2.1% average since the end of World War Two.
What happened:
Businesses pumped out more goods and services to keep up with rising
sales and strong demand by customers. At the same time, they did so
without substantially increasing the amount of labor that was required.
As
a result, a closely watched figure known as unit-labor cost advanced a
mild 1.2% in the third quarter after a tepid 0.3% increase in the
spring. Unit-labor costs reflect how much it costs to make each product,
such as a ton of steel or a carton of toys.
The relatively mild,
though rising, level of unit-labor costs suggest companies are finding
ways to keep expenses down despite the lowest unemployment rate in 48
years and growing shortages of skilled labor.
Hourly compensation rose 3.5% in the third quarter, but just 1.4% once inflation is taken into account.
One
caveat: Manufacturing lagged the broader economy. Productivity only
rose 0.5%, perhaps because firms have to hire new workers with less
skill and experience who need more training.
Big picture:
The recent increase in productivity is certainly welcome news,
reflecting strong economic growth as well as higher investment and other
steps taken by business to improve performance.
When workers
produce more in the same amount of time, companies can boost wages and
maintain healthy profits. Higher productivity also keeps inflation in
check.
Yet productivity has been weak for years and it will take awhile to determine if the recent uptick can be sustained.
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