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Thursday, April 16, 2015

Initial Jobless Claims Up 12K

Initial claims moved higher but trends in today's report remain favorable. Initial claims rose 12,000 in the April 11 week to 294,000 vs a revised 282,000 in the prior week. But the 4-week average is little changed, up only fractionally to 282,750 which is nearly 25,000 below the month-ago comparison. This comparison points convincingly to improvement for the April employment report.

Continuing claims, reported with a week's lag, are also pointing to improvement. Continuing claims, in data for the April 4 week, fell a very sizable 40,000 to a new 15-year low of 2.268 million while the 4-week average fell 33,000 to 2.329 million. The unemployment rate for insured workers is unchanged for a third week at 1.7 percent.

There are no special factors in today's report though adjustments surrounding the Easter holidays often make for volatile week-to-week readings.


Recent History Of This Indicator:
Initial jobless claims rose 14,000 in the week to 281,000 following a slightly revised decline of 21,000 in the prior week. But the 4-week average, which helps smooth out weekly bumps, was down for a 3rd straight week, 3,000 lower to a 282,250 level that was more than 20,000 below the month-ago reading. This was a sizable improvement and hints at bounce-back strength for the April employment report.

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